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Trader

0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$257
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+24.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
14W / 23L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
14W / 24L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
39
across 16 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$18.37
avg win $94 · loss $12
Profit Factor
3.18
$375 won / $118 lost
Reward / Risk
7.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $151,073 · all-time $8,792,875

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.1% 4,602W/6,326L 5055 $901,274
₿ Crypto 39.1% 95W/148L 134 $2,426
⚽ Sports 53.2% 66W/58L 71 $57,780
🏛 Politics 30.8% 4W/9L 9 $157
💵 Economy 36.4% 4W/7L 5 $138
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $258
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $105

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

68 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 11,258 0.125 $1,407.25 $-749.18 -34.7%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 555 0.495 $274.50 $51.72 +23.2%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 428 0.570 $243.67 $-4.32 -1.7%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 109 0.942 $103.00 $3.01 +3.0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Hanwha Life Esports 187 0.515 $96.19 $-2.80 -2.8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 106 0.815 $86.62 $28.60 +49.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 58 1.000 $57.98 $7.98 +16.0%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No 57 0.990 $56.86 $6.87 +13.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 161 0.245 $39.45 $-30.02 -43.2%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 66 0.515 $34.05 $2.31 +7.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 87 0.278 $24.25 $3.33 +15.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 62 0.375 $23.44 $23.44 +0.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 27 0.825 $21.89 $1.90 +9.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 132 0.165 $21.71 $-1.76 -7.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 40 0.535 $21.50 $5.21 +32.0%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 195 0.105 $20.52 $-22.47 -52.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 140 0.140 $19.57 $-49.43 -71.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 114 0.165 $18.86 $6.86 +57.1%
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.810 $16.18 $5.00 +44.6%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No 16 0.950 $15.17 $10.38 +216.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.962 $10.58 $0.46 +4.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 136 0.075 $10.18 $-8.82 -46.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 68 0.135 $9.08 $-0.91 -9.1%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No 13 0.655 $8.73 $-0.77 -8.1%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes 67 0.105 $7.00 $-5.00 -41.7%