| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? |
No |
3 |
0.785 |
$2.35 |
$1.60 |
+214.0% |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? |
Yes |
4 |
0.575 |
$2.35 |
$1.04 |
+79.7% |
| Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
50 |
0.042 |
$2.10 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
3 |
0.515 |
$1.75 |
$0.49 |
+39.2% |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
2 |
0.865 |
$1.73 |
$1.33 |
+332.2% |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.790 |
$1.32 |
$0.65 |
+97.5% |
| Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? |
Yes |
42 |
0.031 |
$1.29 |
$-1.58 |
-55.1% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.695 |
$1.18 |
$0.48 |
+69.1% |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
64 |
0.018 |
$1.12 |
$-0.36 |
-24.3% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.369 |
$1.11 |
$0.19 |
+20.9% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 |
OpenAI |
3 |
0.365 |
$1.06 |
$0.16 |
+17.7% |
| Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation on August 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.020 |
$1.00 |
$0.45 |
+81.8% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.049 |
$0.97 |
$0.03 |
+3.2% |
| Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? |
No |
2 |
0.425 |
$0.94 |
$0.12 |
+14.9% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
1 |
0.768 |
$0.91 |
$0.55 |
+154.5% |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.240 |
$0.78 |
$-0.36 |
-31.4% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 |
Yes |
4 |
0.175 |
$0.74 |
$-0.15 |
-16.7% |
| GHO depeg by December 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.045 |
$0.67 |
$-1.73 |
-71.9% |
| Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? |
Yes |
60 |
0.010 |
$0.60 |
$-0.96 |
-61.5% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? |
No |
2 |
0.315 |
$0.57 |
$-0.12 |
-17.1% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
9 |
0.063 |
$0.55 |
$-0.12 |
-18.0% |
| Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
2 |
0.265 |
$0.53 |
$0.05 |
+10.4% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? |
Yes |
15 |
0.032 |
$0.49 |
$-0.31 |
-38.5% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.100 |
$0.48 |
$-0.67 |
-58.4% |
| Will CF win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.022 |
$0.45 |
$-0.15 |
-25.0% |