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Trader leaderboard/kiddddddd

kiddddddd

0x0044c20cde2f37e271d7e0816c21913053e8cb2c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$24
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
28%
175W / 442L · 186 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
295W / 499L · 9 open
Trades (30d)
803
across 86 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$0.59
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.51
$25 won / $48 lost
Reward / Risk
0.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$19
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,987 · all-time $2,049,665

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 2,230W/1,912L 441 $7,612
🏛 Politics 10.6% 32W/271L 42 $507
🎬 Culture 9.1% 15W/149L 14 $230
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/9L 10 $49
₿ Crypto 3 $13
🤖 Tech 1 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Biby Rabelo de la Torre win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? Yes 8 0.365 $3.08 $2.66 +630.0%
Will Francisco Farías Bailón win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? Yes 8 0.350 $2.95 $2.62 +775.0%
Will Simone Marquetto be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? Yes 8 0.357 $2.94 $2.77 +1687.5%
Will Rocío Abreu Artiñano win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? Yes 8 0.290 $2.45 $2.19 +866.6%
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? Yes 4 0.585 $2.39 $1.08 +82.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? No 3 0.785 $2.35 $1.60 +214.0%
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 50 0.042 $2.08 $-0.02 -1.2%
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes 6 0.335 $1.94 $1.53 +378.5%
Will Genaro Vázquez Flores win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes 6 0.330 $1.91 $1.50 +371.4%
Will Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? Yes 5 0.365 $1.87 $1.66 +812.5%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 3 0.535 $1.82 $0.56 +44.6%
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No 2 0.867 $1.73 $1.33 +333.5%
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 2 0.840 $1.40 $0.73 +110.0%
Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? Yes 42 0.031 $1.29 $-1.58 -55.1%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 2 0.693 $1.18 $0.48 +68.7%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes 3 0.380 $1.14 $0.22 +24.4%
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? Yes 64 0.018 $1.12 $-0.36 -24.3%
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? No 2 0.485 $1.08 $0.26 +31.1%
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 OpenAI 3 0.360 $1.04 $0.14 +16.1%
Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation on August 31? Yes 50 0.021 $1.02 $0.47 +86.4%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 1 0.767 $0.91 $0.55 +154.2%
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes 4 0.215 $0.91 $0.02 +2.4%
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? Yes 3 0.245 $0.80 $-0.34 -30.0%
GHO depeg by December 31? Yes 15 0.045 $0.67 $-1.73 -71.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? Yes 15 0.040 $0.61 $-0.19 -24.0%