| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.950 |
$1,424.25 |
$3.75 |
+0.3% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
1,589 |
0.885 |
$1,406.56 |
$7.95 |
+0.6% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.955 |
$954.50 |
$4.50 |
+0.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.460 |
$919.00 |
$-261.00 |
-22.1% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
967 |
0.705 |
$681.39 |
$43.49 |
+6.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
590 |
0.999 |
$589.12 |
$3.83 |
+0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
600 |
0.895 |
$537.00 |
$51.00 |
+10.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
621 |
0.855 |
$530.76 |
$130.76 |
+32.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? |
No |
600 |
0.845 |
$507.00 |
$15.00 |
+3.0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.977 |
$390.60 |
$0.60 |
+0.2% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
450 |
0.839 |
$377.55 |
$-54.45 |
-12.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
355 |
0.957 |
$339.55 |
$-2.66 |
-0.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? |
No |
332 |
0.925 |
$307.56 |
$1.66 |
+0.5% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
320 |
0.930 |
$297.58 |
$-1.44 |
-0.5% |
| Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
250 |
0.968 |
$242.00 |
$-2.75 |
-1.1% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.780 |
$234.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
229 |
0.979 |
$223.79 |
$-1.37 |
-0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? |
No |
221 |
0.975 |
$215.36 |
$1.44 |
+0.7% |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.790 |
$158.00 |
$-8.00 |
-4.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.935 |
$93.50 |
$6.50 |
+7.5% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
68 |
0.870 |
$59.32 |
$14.32 |
+31.8% |
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
45 |
0.999 |
$45.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.0% |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
37 |
0.998 |
$37.09 |
$0.09 |
+0.3% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
25 |
0.980 |
$24.91 |
$-0.09 |
-0.4% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
No |
25 |
0.974 |
$24.34 |
$0.04 |
+0.2% |