| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.949 |
$1,423.50 |
$3.00 |
+0.2% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
1,589 |
0.885 |
$1,406.56 |
$7.95 |
+0.6% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.954 |
$953.50 |
$3.50 |
+0.4% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.460 |
$919.00 |
$-261.00 |
-22.1% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
967 |
0.695 |
$671.62 |
$33.73 |
+5.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
590 |
0.999 |
$589.12 |
$3.83 |
+0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
600 |
0.900 |
$540.00 |
$54.00 |
+11.1% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
621 |
0.855 |
$530.76 |
$130.76 |
+32.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? |
No |
600 |
0.840 |
$504.00 |
$12.00 |
+2.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.977 |
$390.60 |
$0.60 |
+0.2% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
450 |
0.854 |
$384.30 |
$-47.70 |
-11.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
355 |
0.962 |
$341.33 |
$-0.89 |
-0.3% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? |
No |
332 |
0.925 |
$307.56 |
$1.66 |
+0.5% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? |
No |
320 |
0.934 |
$298.86 |
$-0.16 |
-0.1% |
| Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
250 |
0.968 |
$242.00 |
$-2.75 |
-1.1% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.780 |
$234.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
229 |
0.980 |
$223.90 |
$-1.26 |
-0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? |
No |
221 |
0.971 |
$214.48 |
$0.55 |
+0.3% |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.790 |
$158.00 |
$-8.00 |
-4.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.935 |
$93.50 |
$6.50 |
+7.5% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
68 |
0.900 |
$61.36 |
$16.36 |
+36.4% |
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
45 |
0.999 |
$45.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.0% |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
37 |
0.998 |
$37.09 |
$0.09 |
+0.3% |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
No |
25 |
0.980 |
$24.91 |
$-0.09 |
-0.4% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
No |
25 |
0.974 |
$24.34 |
$0.04 |
+0.2% |