chaoticgod
0xffeafb3a833da1d324af43edd7f106fe138a06c0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$516
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+19.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
36W / 2L · 50 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
36W / 52L
Trades (30d)
88
across 6 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
+$103.22
avg win $183 · loss $16
Profit Factor
17.06
$548 won / $32 lost
Reward / Risk
11.37
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$18
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,116 · all-time $987,947
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
11,065 |
0.961 |
$10,633.38 |
$-65.86 |
-0.6% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
No |
602 |
0.830 |
$499.63 |
$-13.33 |
-2.6% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
345 |
0.111 |
$38.35 |
$-2.57 |
-6.3% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.465 |
$14.05 |
$-5.29 |
-27.3% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
Yes |
21 |
0.435 |
$8.99 |
$1.55 |
+20.8% |