PnL (30d)

+$2,280

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$271

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+21.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

117W / 162L · 45 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

128W / 196L

Trades (30d)

324

across 64 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$41.45

avg win $275 · loss $82

Profit Factor

1.77

$5,223 won / $2,943 lost

Reward / Risk

3.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,564

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.9% 117W/162L	64	$14,686
🏛 Politics	83.8% 31W/6L	5	$3,067
⚽ Sports	87.5% 14W/2L	3	$294
🎬 Culture	70.0% 14W/6L	3	$1,409

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

46 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	1,600	0.375	$600.00	$411.47	+218.3%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Yes	965	0.361	$348.85	$-3.76	-1.1%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	Yes	559	0.198	$110.36	$45.71	+70.7%
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	12,346	0.005	$67.90	$42.62	+168.6%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	112	0.585	$65.41	$33.46	+104.7%
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	10,895	0.004	$43.58	$13.05	+42.8%
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	8,450	0.003	$25.35	$-11.68	-31.5%
Will Trump nationalize elections?	Yes	213	0.105	$22.41	$-33.55	-60.0%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?	Yes	1,018	0.021	$21.39	$-89.11	-80.6%
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,492	0.004	$15.72	$-104.63	-86.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?	Yes	426	0.036	$15.54	$6.64	+74.6%
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,906	0.004	$11.62	$-38.72	-76.9%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	19	0.589	$11.42	$1.20	+11.7%
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,889	0.006	$11.34	$-2.96	-20.7%
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,998	0.005	$10.99	$-100.83	-90.2%
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	63	0.170	$10.67	$-30.92	-74.3%
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	405	0.026	$10.53	$-3.57	-25.3%
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?	Yes	383	0.025	$9.57	$-85.51	-89.9%
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,048	0.004	$8.19	$1.48	+22.1%
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	12	0.355	$4.41	$1.49	+51.0%
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,455	0.003	$3.64	$-3.10	-46.0%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	283	0.011	$3.25	$-19.79	-85.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR?	Yes	864	0.003	$2.16	$-13.18	-85.9%
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	5	0.362	$1.81	$1.19	+192.2%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?	Yes	300	0.006	$1.80	$-10.20	-85.0%