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Trader leaderboard/NoPeeking

NoPeeking

0xffd21411e46b606fe4a4e6843f6656aea1e7d7ae
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$194
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$382
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
27%
3W / 8L · 72 open
Win Return (30d)
11%
9W / 74L
Trades (30d)
83
across 17 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$32.40
avg win $49 · loss $114
Profit Factor
0.43
$148 won / $342 lost
Reward / Risk
0.43
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $852,327

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 18.7% 34W/148L 53 $11,313
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/38L 3 $1,150
💵 Economy 1 $1,340

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No 5,254 0.795 $4,177.16 $1.88 +0.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 10,200 0.375 $3,824.99 $-571.91 -13.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1,500 0.515 $772.49 $-197.50 -20.4%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes 730 0.885 $646.04 $172.50 +36.4%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes 5,210 0.115 $599.18 $-2,023.08 -77.2%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No 1,227 0.420 $515.34 $-98.16 -16.0%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? Yes 489 1.000 $488.93 $146.51 +42.8%
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No 513 0.710 $364.47 $155.47 +74.4%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 2,000 0.101 $201.00 $131.00 +187.1%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 200 0.985 $197.00 $59.00 +42.8%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No 2,089 0.075 $156.70 $-39.89 -20.3%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? Yes 500 0.310 $155.00 $80.00 +106.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 1,444 0.085 $122.77 $-122.75 -50.0%
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? No 173 0.705 $122.11 $44.89 +58.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 137 0.886 $121.87 $68.55 +128.5%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 231 0.515 $118.99 $-10.40 -8.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,500 0.049 $73.50 $18.00 +32.4%
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? Yes 505 0.100 $50.50 $-9.90 -16.4%
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes 200 0.250 $50.00 $-10.00 -16.7%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? Yes 200 0.245 $49.00 $-3.00 -5.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes 214 0.225 $48.26 $3.22 +7.1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 600 0.075 $45.00 $-21.00 -31.8%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 250 0.177 $44.38 $-77.82 -63.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 200 0.184 $36.90 $-5.10 -12.1%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes 532 0.061 $32.47 $-69.00 -68.0%