Log in
Trader leaderboard/NoSteinNoGate

NoSteinNoGate

0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,447
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,031
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
162W / 127L · 450 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
406W / 320L · 13 open
Trades (30d)
739
across 91 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$37.10
avg win $173 · loss $39
Profit Factor
2.49
$2,419 won / $972 lost
Reward / Risk
4.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$11
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $249,627 · all-time $6,108,094

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.4% 1,407W/779L 485 $336,930
💵 Economy 56.5% 26W/20L 39 $11,498
🏛 Politics 50.0% 4W/4L 38 $10,410
₿ Crypto 54.5% 24W/20L 27 $8,063
🤖 Tech 2 $318
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $65

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 3,246 0.735 $2,385.55 $-42.34 -1.7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No 1,230 0.973 $1,195.76 $23.53 +2.0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 943 0.885 $835.26 $106.53 +14.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 935 0.820 $766.54 $271.42 +54.8%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No 806 0.885 $713.00 $58.44 +8.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 831 0.855 $710.10 $4.15 +0.6%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No 865 0.820 $709.17 $102.91 +17.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 887 0.765 $678.29 $80.83 +13.5%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 878 0.715 $627.85 $59.53 +10.5%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026? No 688 0.875 $602.37 $24.09 +4.2%
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? No 792 0.750 $593.72 $135.87 +29.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 664 0.885 $587.69 $41.13 +7.5%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No 765 0.715 $547.19 $8.19 +1.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 750 0.725 $543.61 $103.99 +23.7%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No 577 0.915 $527.77 $4.34 +0.8%
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? No 822 0.637 $524.24 $-54.30 -9.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 23, 2026? No 553 0.895 $495.23 $24.90 +5.3%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? Yes 790 0.610 $481.85 $-143.94 -23.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Yes 650 0.725 $471.34 $29.26 +6.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Yes 532 0.875 $465.90 $65.99 +16.5%
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No 450 0.967 $434.95 $12.46 +2.9%
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? No 494 0.835 $412.49 $13.72 +3.4%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No 443 0.905 $401.09 $11.46 +2.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? Yes 2,685 0.145 $389.25 $39.68 +11.4%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No 496 0.775 $384.09 $42.13 +12.3%