PnL (30d)

−$276

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-44.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

33W / 35L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

36W / 37L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

76

across 61 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$5.12

avg win $3 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.23

$82 won / $359 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.5% 33W/35L	61	$681
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?	Yes	221	0.075	$16.61	$-38.86	-70.1%
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	184	0.075	$13.79	$-15.18	-52.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.350	$8.62	$-2.95	-25.5%
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	168	0.025	$4.26	$-7.33	-63.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6	0.695	$4.15	$-0.63	-13.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	Yes	52	0.024	$1.25	$-10.17	-89.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	11	0.034	$0.38	$-4.32	-92.0%