PnL (30d)

−$32

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$74

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

1,725W / 1,580L · 4,705 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

2,969W / 1,746L · 3,295 open

Trades (30d)

8,010

across 337 markets · ~24 per market

EV / position

−$0.25

avg win $4 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.88

$237 won / $268 lost

Reward / Risk

1.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$19

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.2% 1,725W/1,580L	337	$5,077
🏛 Politics	—	28	$137
₿ Crypto	60.1% 161W/107L	21	$443
💵 Economy	—	3	$52
🤖 Tech	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	14,999	0.002	$22.50	$7.50	+50.0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	7,100	0.002	$10.65	$3.55	+50.0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	10,000	0.001	$5.00	$-5.00	-50.0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	10,000	0.001	$5.00	$-5.00	-50.0%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	10,000	0.001	$5.00	$-5.00	-50.0%
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	634	0.002	$0.95	$0.32	+50.0%
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	632	0.002	$0.95	$0.32	+50.0%
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	417	0.002	$0.63	$0.21	+50.0%
Will Décio Lima win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	Yes	229	0.003	$0.57	$0.34	+150.0%
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	339	0.002	$0.51	$0.17	+50.0%
Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	1,000	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	999	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	995	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	995	0.001	$0.50	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	989	0.001	$0.49	$-0.49	-50.0%
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	971	0.001	$0.49	$-0.49	-50.0%
Will Marcos Vieira win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	Yes	227	0.002	$0.45	$0.23	+100.0%
Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	801	0.001	$0.40	$-0.40	-50.0%
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	794	0.001	$0.40	$-0.40	-50.0%
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	772	0.001	$0.39	$-0.39	-50.0%
Will Afrânio Boppré win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	Yes	190	0.002	$0.38	$0.19	+100.0%
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	67	0.004	$0.24	$0.17	+249.9%
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	405	0.001	$0.20	$-0.20	-50.0%
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	373	0.001	$0.19	$-0.19	-50.0%
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	298	0.001	$0.15	$-0.15	-50.0%