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Trader leaderboard/0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272

0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272

0xff12c076486622f6492023399a4e84d46dfbcdc4
PnL (30d)
−$1,019
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$71
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-45.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
77W / 114L · 48 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
87W / 152L
Trades (30d)
239
across 92 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$16.43
avg win $7 · loss $34
Profit Factor
0.16
$193 won / $1,211 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$901
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,360 · all-time $64,341

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.3% 77W/114L 92 $2,460
🏛 Politics 26.7% 12W/33L 12 $331
⚽ Sports 47.1% 8W/9L 10 $1,083
🎬 Culture 68.4% 13W/6L 4 $95
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/11L 2 $18
🌤 Weather 1 $5
🔬 Science 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 198 0.875 $172.88 $6.85 +4.1%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 148 0.747 $110.30 $-0.66 -0.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 97 0.845 $81.69 $10.80 +15.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 322 0.155 $49.98 $-14.51 -22.5%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 30 0.680 $20.41 $2.10 +11.5%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 80 0.250 $20.00 $-1.07 -5.1%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 18 0.875 $15.36 $0.64 +4.4%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 16 0.720 $11.65 $-2.10 -15.3%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 85 0.085 $7.25 $-44.94 -86.1%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 25 0.255 $6.42 $-4.46 -41.0%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 10 0.604 $6.04 $-1.91 -24.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $1.20 +31.5%
Will there be at least 10,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? Yes 5 0.998 $4.99 $0.19 +4.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 5 0.998 $4.99 $0.69 +16.0%
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Yes 5 0.985 $4.92 $0.17 +3.7%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 51 0.095 $4.80 $-8.56 -64.1%
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 5 0.918 $4.59 $0.05 +1.0%
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No 5 0.915 $4.58 $-0.02 -0.5%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes 5 0.905 $4.53 $0.17 +4.0%
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? Yes 5 0.865 $4.33 $0.38 +9.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 20 0.195 $3.93 $-4.53 -53.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5 0.785 $3.92 $2.88 +273.8%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 5 0.714 $3.58 $-0.76 -17.6%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 7 0.515 $3.55 $-1.32 -27.0%
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? No 5 0.690 $3.45 $0.50 +16.9%