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Trader

0xff0931866aa744cc4f4e71d89055244adfff25ab
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
19W / 4L · 374 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
53W / 21L · 323 open
Trades (30d)
397
across 11 markets · ~36 per market
EV / position
−$0.62
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.03
$0 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $265 · all-time $46,107

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 79.6% 532W/136L 137 $1,556
💵 Economy 20 $93
🏛 Politics 67.3% 33W/16L 19 $207
₿ Crypto 100.0% 10W/0L 15 $76
🤖 Tech 7 $21
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 7 $77
⚽ Sports 64.3% 18W/10L 6 $28

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

149 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Trump out as President before 2027? No 77 0.935 $72.21 $0.22 +0.3%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 62 0.964 $60.00 $3.01 +5.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 113 0.460 $51.97 $8.32 +19.1%
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes 336 0.140 $46.97 $-64.02 -57.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 53 0.835 $44.05 $7.04 +19.0%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 42 0.978 $40.64 $0.64 +1.6%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 39 0.955 $37.29 $0.29 +0.8%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 33 0.915 $30.10 $-0.90 -2.9%
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No 28 0.980 $27.45 $0.45 +1.7%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No 29 0.885 $25.59 $0.59 +2.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 37 0.625 $23.05 $4.05 +21.3%
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? No 22 0.994 $22.08 $0.08 +0.4%
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No 23 0.945 $21.26 $0.26 +1.3%
Trump out as President by August 31? No 20 0.993 $20.02 $0.02 +0.1%
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No 17 0.977 $16.79 $0.79 +4.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No 18 0.895 $16.47 $-0.53 -3.1%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 16 0.955 $15.29 $0.29 +2.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 114 0.125 $14.29 $-1.71 -10.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 15 0.935 $13.82 $6.61 +91.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 14 0.974 $13.26 $0.26 +2.0%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? No 12 0.990 $12.08 $0.08 +0.7%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 13 0.935 $11.94 $-0.06 -0.5%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 12 0.910 $10.89 $-0.11 -1.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No 11 0.865 $9.84 $-0.16 -1.6%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 9 0.962 $9.05 $0.05 +0.6%