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Trader leaderboard/0xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-1741783184737

0xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-1741783184737

0xfec464f25ce66aaeb9bd4ecb94b7184520bccfc8
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$110
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$71
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
100W / 157L · 61 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
123W / 180L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
318
across 100 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.45
avg win $13 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.80
$452 won / $562 lost
Reward / Risk
0.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$82
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,809 · all-time $116,944

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.8% 506W/470L 546 $19,239
💵 Economy 33.3% 25W/50L 41 $1,240
⚽ Sports 100.0% 4W/0L 41 $1,205
₿ Crypto 36.8% 25W/43L 29 $926
🏛 Politics 21 $441
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 11 $164
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 6 $168
🌤 Weather 62.5% 5W/3L 6 $49

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes 2,509 0.080 $200.76 $-168.40 -45.6%
Will T1 make a roster change before September? No 145 0.935 $135.73 $0.72 +0.5%
Will Gen.G make a roster change before September? No 117 0.945 $110.13 $2.47 +2.3%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31? Yes 95 0.910 $86.73 $12.90 +17.5%
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before September? No 89 0.945 $83.85 $1.78 +2.2%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in August? Yes 120 0.683 $82.03 $-23.78 -22.5%
Will Invictus Gaming Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? No 84 0.952 $79.83 $1.64 +2.1%
Will LAB reach $24 before 2027? No 87 0.905 $78.43 $-2.17 -2.7%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? No 80 0.920 $73.97 $22.91 +44.9%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? No 80 0.890 $71.56 $1.61 +2.3%
Will Brice Barnes be the FL-02 Democratic nominee? No 60 0.940 $56.40 $0.80 +1.4%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026? No 62 0.895 $55.11 $10.93 +24.7%
Will T1 Qualify for Worlds 2026? Yes 60 0.825 $49.87 $12.05 +31.9%
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 50 0.985 $49.25 $1.20 +2.5%
Will no press briefing air by August 31? No 50 0.968 $48.38 $1.38 +2.9%
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? No 59 0.680 $40.12 $11.56 +40.5%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? No 44 0.895 $39.12 $9.40 +31.6%
Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027? No 40 0.952 $38.05 $1.25 +3.4%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? No 39 0.967 $37.62 $2.98 +8.6%
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 OpenAI 102 0.365 $37.16 $5.54 +17.5%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? No 40 0.915 $36.69 $6.21 +20.4%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? No 40 0.905 $36.29 $6.01 +19.8%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026? No 40 0.890 $35.69 $2.10 +6.2%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes 40 0.870 $34.97 $3.01 +9.4%
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 26, 2026? No 38 0.920 $34.96 $0.16 +0.5%