PnL (30d)

+$237

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$262

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

59W / 137L · 753 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

390W / 543L · 16 open

Trades (30d)

949

across 162 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$3.71

avg win $35 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.51

$705 won / $468 lost

Reward / Risk

3.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$74

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.1% 59W/137L	162	$5,679
⚽ Sports	13.8% 8W/50L	54	$677
🌤 Weather	40.6% 13W/19L	18	$77
🎬 Culture	—	1	$29

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

81 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	3,965	0.089	$354.84	$-49.91	-12.3%
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	14,377	0.011	$165.34	$-132.81	-44.5%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	31,109	0.005	$155.54	$-80.29	-34.0%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	8,889	0.017	$146.67	$18.59	+14.5%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	13,720	0.007	$102.90	$-17.07	-14.2%
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	11,070	0.009	$94.09	$3.63	+4.0%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	19,564	0.004	$88.04	$-11.66	-11.7%
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	24,257	0.003	$72.77	$-75.20	-50.8%
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	12,880	0.004	$57.96	$0.82	+1.4%
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	10,163	0.005	$55.89	$-10.18	-15.4%
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	3,611	0.015	$54.16	$-29.55	-35.3%
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	1,936	0.023	$44.53	$23.23	+109.1%
Will Alexandra Eala Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	No	47	0.781	$36.98	$2.84	+8.3%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?	Yes	31	1.000	$31.10	$22.39	+257.0%
Will Iga Swiatek Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	140	0.220	$30.80	$26.60	+633.3%
Will Linda Noskova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	203	0.150	$30.45	$26.39	+650.0%
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Yes	453	0.065	$29.44	$-9.47	-24.3%
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	1,500	0.018	$27.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	4,533	0.005	$24.93	$-2.31	-8.5%
Will Mirra Andreeva Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	120	0.185	$22.20	$18.60	+516.7%
Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	8,863	0.003	$22.16	$4.43	+25.0%
Will Coco Gauff Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	Yes	120	0.170	$20.40	$15.60	+325.0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5?	Yes	31	0.590	$18.10	$0.92	+5.4%
Will Linda Noskova Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?	No	20	0.850	$17.00	$3.00	+21.4%
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?	No	20	0.835	$16.70	$7.70	+85.6%