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Trader

0xfd8d4130d037d38ba3d1e7e4d89c8f65fe99038b
PnL (30d)
−$11
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$23
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
82%
193W / 43L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
204W / 48L
Trades (30d)
252
across 106 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.11
avg win $8 · loss $23
Profit Factor
0.98
$564 won / $575 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$148
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,176 · all-time $656,549

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.8% 193W/43L 106 $7,270
💵 Economy 5 $188
₿ Crypto 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $141
🤖 Tech 2 $68

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 842 0.790 $665.19 $86.05 +14.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 1,089 0.175 $190.59 $136.14 +250.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 200 0.825 $165.00 $27.00 +19.6%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 1,070 0.128 $136.95 $37.40 +37.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 199 0.555 $110.69 $1.00 +0.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No 122 0.635 $77.39 $8.53 +12.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 100 0.620 $62.00 $27.00 +77.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.545 $54.50 $1.50 +2.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 74 0.505 $37.38 $-1.11 -2.9%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 100 0.180 $18.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 50 0.345 $17.24 $7.24 +72.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 140 0.060 $8.40 $2.42 +40.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? Yes 24 0.250 $6.00 $0.72 +13.6%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 1,879 0.003 $4.70 $-8.45 -64.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 51 0.000 $0.00 $-20.00 -100.0%