PnL (30d)

−$14

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$28

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

32W / 47L · 165 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

59W / 181L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

244

across 17 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

−$3.51

avg win $1 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.10

$2 won / $16 lost

Reward / Risk

0.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	29.5% 415W/990L	103	$75,928
🌤 Weather	100.0% 6W/0L	10	$4,956
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	5	$577
₿ Crypto	—	1	$108
💵 Economy	—	1	$9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5?	No	168	1.000	$168.39	$0.08	+0.0%