| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13,071 |
0.925 |
$12,090.66 |
$551.92 |
+4.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,828 |
0.975 |
$1,781.42 |
$22.73 |
+1.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,239 |
0.250 |
$1,559.72 |
$304.23 |
+24.2% |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
1,318 |
0.989 |
$1,303.58 |
$16.40 |
+1.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,300 |
0.989 |
$1,285.05 |
$4.65 |
+0.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
1,200 |
0.816 |
$978.60 |
$378.60 |
+63.1% |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
886 |
0.881 |
$780.71 |
$29.87 |
+4.0% |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31? |
No |
541 |
0.993 |
$536.91 |
$5.07 |
+1.0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? |
No |
429 |
0.988 |
$423.96 |
$35.56 |
+9.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.964 |
$289.04 |
$0.75 |
+0.3% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
No |
580 |
0.420 |
$243.60 |
$-203.00 |
-45.5% |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
No |
253 |
0.885 |
$224.04 |
$-1.14 |
-0.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.184 |
$221.40 |
$-378.60 |
-63.1% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
64 |
0.955 |
$61.11 |
$1.07 |
+1.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.175 |
$8.75 |
$-10.75 |
-55.1% |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
91 |
0.003 |
$0.27 |
$-0.73 |
-72.7% |