PnL (30d)

−$735

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,986

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

14W / 22L · 22 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

33W / 25L

Trades (30d)

58

across 14 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$66.83

avg win $52 · loss $111

Profit Factor

0.17

$155 won / $890 lost

Reward / Risk

0.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	38.9% 14W/22L	14	$26,119
🏛 Politics	—	2	$545

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	20,815	0.930	$19,358.26	$2,984.79	+18.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	6,656	0.967	$6,436.39	$814.33	+14.5%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	5	0.035	$0.17	$-0.98	-85.0%