PnL (30d)

+$18

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$50

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

20W / 4L · 118 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

105W / 37L

Trades (30d)

142

across 29 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$1.40

avg win $2 · loss $2

Profit Factor

6.62

$22 won / $3 lost

Reward / Risk

1.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.3% 20W/4L	29	$3,072
🏛 Politics	—	10	$953

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	709	0.117	$82.56	$-22.44	-21.4%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	732	0.065	$47.59	$-9.54	-16.7%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	157	0.270	$42.39	$-0.61	-1.4%
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	200	0.095	$19.00	$-1.00	-5.0%
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	210	0.085	$17.85	$1.73	+10.7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	23	0.072	$1.63	$0.06	+3.6%