| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
39 |
0.355 |
$13.80 |
$0.35 |
+2.6% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.835 |
$11.94 |
$4.50 |
+60.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.853 |
$11.44 |
$1.23 |
+12.1% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
26 |
0.405 |
$10.67 |
$-3.32 |
-23.7% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.930 |
$10.23 |
$5.94 |
+138.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.835 |
$9.82 |
$0.98 |
+11.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
10 |
0.940 |
$9.80 |
$-0.10 |
-1.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
71 |
0.135 |
$9.63 |
$5.35 |
+125.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9 |
0.925 |
$7.98 |
$0.34 |
+4.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.954 |
$6.94 |
$0.06 |
+0.9% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.725 |
$6.92 |
$0.21 |
+3.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.38 |
$1.07 |
+20.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
6 |
0.999 |
$6.27 |
$1.31 |
+26.4% |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.977 |
$5.92 |
$0.28 |
+5.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.655 |
$5.41 |
$-0.67 |
-10.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.540 |
$5.02 |
$1.39 |
+38.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
37 |
0.135 |
$4.97 |
$-0.25 |
-4.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.745 |
$4.49 |
$0.87 |
+23.9% |
| Birmingham: James Duckworth vs Billy Harris |
Billy Harris |
9 |
0.500 |
$4.36 |
$1.13 |
+35.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.750 |
$4.10 |
$0.25 |
+6.5% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.865 |
$3.61 |
$0.73 |
+25.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.976 |
$3.55 |
$0.50 |
+16.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.51 |
$0.40 |
+13.0% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.41 |
$1.02 |
+42.6% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? |
No |
4 |
0.865 |
$3.22 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |