PnL (30d)

−$995

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$37

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

54W / 302L · 300 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

68W / 588L

Trades (30d)

656

across 16 markets · ~41 per market

EV / position

−$199.02

avg win $13 · loss $252

Profit Factor

0.01

$13 won / $1,008 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	15.2% 54W/302L	16	$73,299
⚽ Sports	—	5	$994
🏛 Politics	—	4	$4,697

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	4,331	0.816	$3,531.93	$1,366.43	+63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4,320	0.184	$797.04	$-1,362.96	-63.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,500	0.460	$689.25	$0.75	+0.1%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,000	0.298	$597.05	$-4.99	-0.8%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	106	0.645	$68.62	$11.33	+19.8%
Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	307	0.045	$13.82	$-34.96	-71.7%
Will Shohei Ohtani record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	152	0.080	$12.20	$-8.88	-42.1%
Will Juan Soto record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	30	0.045	$1.37	$-2.89	-67.9%
Will Aaron Judge record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	98	0.006	$0.64	$-21.08	-97.1%