PnL (30d)

−$39

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-21.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

5W / 13L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

9W / 18L

Trades (30d)

27

across 14 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$3.94

avg win $4 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.31

$18 won / $57 lost

Reward / Risk

0.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.8% 194W/230L	142	$8,626
₿ Crypto	—	4	$509
💵 Economy	—	4	$509
🏛 Politics	—	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	430	0.790	$339.69	$157.20	+86.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	309	0.855	$264.27	$70.06	+36.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	204	0.545	$111.40	$43.36	+63.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	58	0.895	$51.63	$21.63	+72.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	63	0.519	$32.73	$1.43	+4.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	40	0.725	$29.00	$4.60	+18.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	30	0.940	$28.20	$7.50	+36.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	110	0.250	$27.50	$15.40	+127.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	30	0.875	$26.68	$1.68	+6.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	75	0.305	$23.01	$-24.08	-51.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	30	0.535	$16.06	$6.45	+67.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	20	0.215	$4.30	$-11.30	-72.4%