| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,091 |
0.455 |
$2,316.31 |
$552.42 |
+31.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,187 |
0.655 |
$1,432.57 |
$542.82 |
+61.0% |
| Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
423 |
0.986 |
$417.31 |
$54.83 |
+15.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
478 |
0.845 |
$403.63 |
$22.07 |
+5.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
394 |
0.640 |
$252.30 |
$34.59 |
+15.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
275 |
0.785 |
$215.98 |
$103.81 |
+92.6% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
180 |
0.927 |
$166.72 |
$8.90 |
+5.6% |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
849 |
0.151 |
$128.64 |
$-143.05 |
-52.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
182 |
0.685 |
$124.33 |
$84.40 |
+211.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
188 |
0.615 |
$115.85 |
$-0.93 |
-0.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
362 |
0.315 |
$114.12 |
$4.80 |
+4.4% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
128 |
0.785 |
$100.56 |
$69.11 |
+219.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
225 |
0.435 |
$98.01 |
$-11.99 |
-10.9% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$33.50 |
+63.2% |
| Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
626 |
0.134 |
$83.91 |
$-59.26 |
-41.4% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
132 |
0.489 |
$64.81 |
$2.45 |
+3.9% |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? |
No |
71 |
0.849 |
$60.05 |
$32.75 |
+119.9% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
235 |
0.255 |
$59.83 |
$-16.78 |
-21.9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
77 |
0.735 |
$56.35 |
$24.92 |
+79.3% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? |
No |
61 |
0.920 |
$56.29 |
$2.78 |
+5.2% |
| Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? |
No |
77 |
0.625 |
$48.35 |
$1.93 |
+4.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
118 |
0.385 |
$45.46 |
$-5.31 |
-10.5% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
59 |
0.685 |
$40.66 |
$18.77 |
+85.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
148 |
0.261 |
$38.47 |
$-7.64 |
-16.6% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? |
No |
38 |
0.905 |
$34.80 |
$5.09 |
+17.1% |