| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
11 |
0.865 |
$9.39 |
$0.39 |
+4.4% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
9 |
0.945 |
$8.12 |
$2.12 |
+35.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.845 |
$5.59 |
$3.59 |
+179.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
36 |
0.135 |
$4.91 |
$-1.09 |
-18.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
12 |
0.353 |
$4.39 |
$0.39 |
+9.8% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
4 |
0.984 |
$4.29 |
$0.29 |
+7.2% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.685 |
$3.30 |
$0.30 |
+9.9% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
3 |
1.000 |
$3.25 |
$0.25 |
+8.3% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
15 |
0.210 |
$3.22 |
$-2.78 |
-46.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.245 |
$3.14 |
$-0.07 |
-2.0% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
Yes |
5 |
0.606 |
$3.04 |
$1.04 |
+51.9% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
3 |
0.918 |
$2.85 |
$-0.15 |
-4.9% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.930 |
$2.79 |
$0.79 |
+39.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.845 |
$2.75 |
$0.31 |
+12.6% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
4 |
0.710 |
$2.50 |
$-0.50 |
-16.8% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.165 |
$2.36 |
$1.36 |
+135.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
2 |
0.997 |
$2.34 |
$0.34 |
+16.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.990 |
$2.28 |
$0.28 |
+13.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
2 |
1.000 |
$2.16 |
$0.16 |
+8.0% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.675 |
$1.98 |
$-0.02 |
-1.2% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.798 |
$1.84 |
$-0.16 |
-8.2% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
21 |
0.082 |
$1.74 |
$-3.26 |
-65.1% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.440 |
$1.59 |
$-0.41 |
-20.3% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
3 |
0.606 |
$1.52 |
$-0.48 |
-24.0% |