| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
174 |
0.235 |
$40.84 |
$-2.61 |
-6.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
48 |
0.853 |
$40.81 |
$11.64 |
+39.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
280 |
0.144 |
$40.48 |
$17.23 |
+74.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? |
No |
44 |
0.915 |
$40.19 |
$0.22 |
+0.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
42 |
0.945 |
$39.36 |
$5.43 |
+16.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
55 |
0.715 |
$39.32 |
$9.33 |
+31.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
188 |
0.209 |
$39.28 |
$9.28 |
+30.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
45 |
0.845 |
$37.96 |
$8.07 |
+27.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
38 |
0.935 |
$35.67 |
$5.68 |
+18.9% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
37 |
0.875 |
$32.26 |
$2.27 |
+7.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.886 |
$31.83 |
$11.83 |
+59.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.823 |
$31.45 |
$11.80 |
+60.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
32 |
0.935 |
$30.29 |
$3.08 |
+11.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
45 |
0.675 |
$30.21 |
$1.12 |
+3.8% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
343 |
0.086 |
$29.49 |
$9.50 |
+47.5% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
48 |
0.615 |
$29.29 |
$20.71 |
+241.7% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
No |
32 |
0.900 |
$29.05 |
$-0.90 |
-3.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
158 |
0.180 |
$28.59 |
$8.81 |
+44.6% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
75 |
0.380 |
$28.54 |
$18.54 |
+185.4% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.910 |
$28.43 |
$8.43 |
+42.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.645 |
$27.94 |
$1.35 |
+5.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.825 |
$27.50 |
$17.50 |
+175.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
99 |
0.278 |
$27.47 |
$7.52 |
+37.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.945 |
$27.42 |
$7.50 |
+37.7% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
29 |
0.905 |
$26.68 |
$4.57 |
+20.7% |