PnL (30d)

−$18,071

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$10,072

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

307W / 548L · 360 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

590W / 625L

Trades (30d)

1,215

across 41 markets · ~30 per market

EV / position

−$860.50

avg win $219 · loss $3,020

Profit Factor

0.15

$3,070 won / $21,140 lost

Reward / Risk

0.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,925

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.9% 307W/548L	41	$232,992
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/9L	4	$3,275
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	3	$6,083
🤖 Tech	—	1	$1,350

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	5,000	0.875	$4,375.00	$25.00	+0.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	4,014	0.815	$3,271.03	$1,933.11	+144.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	4,635	0.625	$2,896.84	$362.23	+14.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	1,812	0.987	$1,787.64	$93.85	+5.5%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	No	1,500	0.905	$1,357.50	$7.50	+0.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	614	0.865	$531.15	$58.33	+12.3%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	570	0.675	$384.87	$16.36	+4.4%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	270	0.941	$253.73	$65.52	+34.8%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	220	0.665	$146.08	$12.08	+9.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	100	0.586	$58.55	$3.55	+6.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	500	0.095	$47.50	$-42.50	-47.2%