| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
83,745 |
0.987 |
$82,613.95 |
$1,633.86 |
+2.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
83,209 |
0.853 |
$70,935.84 |
$24,331.95 |
+52.2% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
70,634 |
0.298 |
$21,084.28 |
$1,861.63 |
+9.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
20,046 |
0.987 |
$19,775.18 |
$852.29 |
+4.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
75,119 |
0.260 |
$19,531.01 |
$-1,311.21 |
-6.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
20,107 |
0.926 |
$18,629.01 |
$121.51 |
+0.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
24,415 |
0.745 |
$18,188.92 |
$1,809.76 |
+11.0% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
42,675 |
0.255 |
$10,882.19 |
$781.17 |
+7.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
9,886 |
0.989 |
$9,772.19 |
$34.77 |
+0.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
12,137 |
0.645 |
$7,828.16 |
$127.62 |
+1.7% |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
7,693 |
0.860 |
$6,615.75 |
$290.79 |
+4.6% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? |
Yes |
6,001 |
0.922 |
$5,533.00 |
$104.99 |
+1.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
5,507 |
0.785 |
$4,323.13 |
$582.82 |
+15.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? |
No |
4,558 |
0.909 |
$4,143.18 |
$98.32 |
+2.4% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
4,005 |
0.865 |
$3,464.61 |
$-33.85 |
-1.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
3,253 |
0.978 |
$3,179.80 |
$7.63 |
+0.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
Yes |
3,353 |
0.880 |
$2,950.81 |
$113.00 |
+4.0% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
2,983 |
0.920 |
$2,744.44 |
$215.21 |
+8.5% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
60,964 |
0.040 |
$2,408.07 |
$880.07 |
+57.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
3,091 |
0.685 |
$2,117.31 |
$-104.95 |
-4.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2,169 |
0.850 |
$1,843.67 |
$120.30 |
+7.0% |
| Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
1,942 |
0.860 |
$1,670.17 |
$110.77 |
+7.1% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
1,735 |
0.845 |
$1,465.84 |
$206.84 |
+16.4% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
Yes |
3,096 |
0.321 |
$992.14 |
$-112.14 |
-10.2% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
66,179 |
0.015 |
$959.59 |
$481.98 |
+100.9% |