greengasper
0xfb328b94ed05115259bbc48ba8182df1416edb85
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$591
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-71.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
6W / 8L
Win Return (30d)
43%
6W / 8L
Trades (30d)
14
across 5 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$118.22
avg win $155 · loss $187
Profit Factor
0.21
$155 won / $746 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $29,009 · all-time $2,896,147
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
57.1%
190W/143L
|
126 |
$70,078 |
|
⚽ Sports
|
0.0%
0W/4L
|
1 |
$385 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
6,884 |
0.595 |
$4,095.78 |
$-104.20 |
-2.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,219 |
0.460 |
$1,020.56 |
$-79.44 |
-7.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
541 |
0.405 |
$218.92 |
$18.92 |
+9.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
658 |
0.205 |
$134.80 |
$-65.20 |
-32.6% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
185 |
0.535 |
$99.07 |
$-0.93 |
-0.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
170 |
0.300 |
$51.05 |
$-48.95 |
-48.9% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
Yes |
173 |
0.130 |
$22.45 |
$-27.55 |
-55.1% |