PnL (30d)

+$48

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+24.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

54%

63W / 54L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

65W / 59L

Trades (30d)

124

across 50 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.10

avg win $3 · loss $2

Profit Factor

2.49

$81 won / $32 lost

Reward / Risk

1.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	53.8% 63W/54L	50	$367
₿ Crypto	11.1% 2W/16L	3	$35
🎬 Culture	11.1% 2W/16L	3	$35
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/2L	3	$6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	8	0.460	$3.68	$-0.06	-1.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	65	0.045	$2.92	$-4.67	-61.5%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	15	0.128	$1.92	$0.49	+34.7%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	15	0.101	$1.51	$-0.67	-30.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6	0.245	$1.47	$-0.36	-19.7%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	35	0.032	$1.10	$0.05	+5.0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	10	0.085	$0.85	$-0.15	-15.0%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	15	0.055	$0.82	$-1.57	-65.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?	Yes	40	0.014	$0.56	$-0.92	-62.2%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	130	0.003	$0.33	$-0.71	-68.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-1.35	-84.4%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	8	0.015	$0.12	$-0.23	-64.8%