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0xfac290df1d02920049082e34d211135d9eeff35f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
5W / 14L
Win Return (30d)
26%
5W / 14L
Trades (30d)
19
across 3 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$0.96
avg win $31 · loss $14
Profit Factor
1.10
$31 won / $28 lost
Reward / Risk
2.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$27
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,033 · all-time $442,888
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Yes |
1,451 |
0.055 |
$79.80 |
$-69.59 |
-46.6% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? |
No |
60 |
0.967 |
$58.02 |
$4.62 |
+8.7% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.942 |
$9.95 |
$-0.05 |
-0.5% |
| Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01? |
No |
200 |
0.044 |
$8.80 |
$-19.20 |
-68.6% |
| Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.645 |
$7.09 |
$-2.91 |
-29.1% |
| Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.470 |
$5.11 |
$-4.89 |
-48.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.013 |
$3.75 |
$-138.22 |
-97.4% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? |
Yes |
100 |
0.033 |
$3.30 |
$-5.70 |
-63.3% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.015 |
$0.87 |
$-13.53 |
-94.0% |