Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0xfa394a598dbf573202a8286b45f512c7a383977f
PnL (30d)
−$500
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3,448
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
86W / 361L · 658 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
699W / 403L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
1,105
across 76 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$55.58
avg win $21 · loss $117
Profit Factor
0.14
$85 won / $585 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$46
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $123,870 · all-time $33,866,353

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 19.2% 86W/361L 76 $47,491
🏛 Politics 34.9% 22W/41L 21 $11,049
🤖 Tech 8 $384
₿ Crypto 6 $594
🎬 Culture 6 $102
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/41L 4 $1,422
🔬 Science 3 $400
🌤 Weather 2 $300

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? No 6,204 0.915 $5,676.96 $423.93 +8.1%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes 3,591 0.850 $3,052.15 $255.96 +9.2%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 3,296 0.875 $2,884.37 $575.79 +24.9%
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No 2,151 0.965 $2,074.98 $165.28 +8.7%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No 1,595 0.927 $1,479.65 $153.96 +11.6%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 1,289 0.915 $1,179.34 $64.67 +5.8%
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? No 930 0.920 $855.88 $70.69 +9.0%
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No 814 0.929 $756.46 $178.12 +30.8%
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes 703 0.970 $681.41 $27.10 +4.1%
NATO article 5 before 2027? No 675 0.925 $624.23 $29.90 +5.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 806 0.755 $608.24 $208.24 +52.1%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 656 0.915 $600.40 $74.41 +14.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 581 0.988 $573.55 $23.57 +4.3%
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes 1,515 0.290 $439.46 $-148.08 -25.2%
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No 454 0.967 $439.32 $77.18 +21.3%
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No 474 0.918 $434.83 $49.50 +12.8%
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No 668 0.580 $387.50 $167.22 +75.9%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 400 0.942 $376.60 $13.69 +3.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 396 0.845 $334.43 $83.84 +33.5%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 311 0.952 $295.79 $23.79 +8.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 7,687 0.036 $280.57 $-210.04 -42.8%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 4,250 0.065 $276.27 $-124.53 -31.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 361 0.750 $270.90 $33.05 +13.9%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No 287 0.925 $265.93 $42.45 +19.0%
AI bubble burst in 2026? No 300 0.839 $251.73 $61.76 +32.5%