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dilution

0xfa2a9ffc9953cce115b8e855377822e201a5c1fa
PnL (30d)
−$1,341
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$240
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
18W / 58L · 104 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
102W / 77L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
180
across 24 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$167.64
avg win $106 · loss $259
Profit Factor
0.14
$213 won / $1,554 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $325 · all-time $259,951

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 23.7% 18W/58L 24 $30,603
🏛 Politics 3 $1,303
₿ Crypto 1 $65
💵 Economy 1 $65

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 3,000 0.925 $2,775.00 $105.01 +3.9%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 2,753 0.875 $2,409.08 $76.02 +3.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 2,105 0.750 $1,578.82 $-146.07 -8.5%
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No 1,163 0.885 $1,028.82 $6.36 +0.6%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 1,017 0.987 $1,003.68 $47.88 +5.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,000 0.845 $845.00 $95.00 +12.7%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No 990 0.830 $821.56 $17.04 +2.1%
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No 813 0.895 $727.23 $2.81 +0.4%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 699 0.987 $689.59 $55.57 +8.8%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 747 0.915 $683.51 $19.34 +2.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,105 0.250 $526.19 $34.83 +7.1%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? Yes 100 0.555 $55.50 $-9.50 -14.6%