PnL (30d)

+$20

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$150

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

6W / 4L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

12W / 15L

Trades (30d)

27

across 13 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$3.40

avg win $13 · loss $15

Profit Factor

1.67

$51 won / $30 lost

Reward / Risk

0.83

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.0% 6W/4L	13	$4,836
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$719
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$719

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	300	0.971	$291.51	$0.29	+0.1%
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	268	0.905	$242.77	$-0.54	-0.2%
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	245	0.975	$238.44	$10.57	+4.6%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	250	0.820	$205.00	$43.05	+26.6%
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	250	0.715	$178.75	$13.75	+8.3%
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	300	0.495	$148.50	$-36.70	-19.8%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	261	0.520	$135.79	$-63.01	-31.7%
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	121	0.941	$113.64	$1.30	+1.2%
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	120	0.916	$109.77	$0.24	+0.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	100	0.805	$80.50	$-5.50	-6.4%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26	0.795	$21.02	$2.99	+16.6%