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Trader leaderboard/extractive-manatee

extractive-manatee

0xf9f207b77137caa79c6c4516abdef3133db45cba
PnL (30d)
−$1,889
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,196
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
1,094W / 913L · 1,168 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
1,885W / 1,251L · 39 open
Trades (30d)
3,175
across 443 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$6.06
avg win $65 · loss $81
Profit Factor
0.85
$10,379 won / $12,269 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3,973
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $39,237 · all-time $17,654,358

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.5% 1,094W/913L 443 $112,038
💵 Economy 21.9% 69W/246L 63 $15,117
🎬 Culture 64.4% 123W/68L 51 $3,633
🤖 Tech 65.4% 123W/65L 49 $3,491
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/32L 12 $7,403
⚽ Sports 72.2% 13W/5L 11 $1,400
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $42

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

130 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 7,041 0.957 $6,735.09 $772.98 +13.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 3,000 0.970 $2,908.49 $328.50 +12.7%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? No 2,523 0.660 $1,665.11 $113.16 +7.3%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50,348 0.029 $1,485.28 $956.57 +180.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8,000 0.184 $1,475.99 $-878.92 -37.3%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? Yes 4,409 0.330 $1,454.96 $439.29 +43.3%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? No 1,855 0.645 $1,196.49 $23.59 +2.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 1,485 0.730 $1,084.27 $-84.71 -7.2%
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes 3,250 0.270 $877.51 $-513.21 -36.9%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 1,023 0.854 $872.71 $-2.54 -0.3%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 73,159 0.011 $841.33 $49.89 +6.3%
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 822 0.885 $727.34 $54.88 +8.2%
Will RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 771 0.800 $616.96 $73.78 +13.6%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 584 0.986 $575.05 $512.19 +814.9%
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 480 0.975 $468.12 $62.49 +15.4%
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? Yes 619 0.755 $467.29 $108.23 +30.1%
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30? No 677 0.645 $436.87 $25.71 +6.3%
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? No 679 0.595 $404.13 $-1.46 -0.4%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? No 636 0.631 $401.43 $-80.13 -16.6%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? No 610 0.610 $371.80 $-32.73 -8.1%
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 672 0.545 $366.09 $165.26 +82.3%
Will PlayTime win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament Yes 530 0.675 $357.94 $52.22 +17.1%
Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026? No 376 0.890 $334.21 $11.27 +3.5%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes 436 0.765 $333.66 $79.19 +31.1%
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? No 372 0.805 $299.13 $76.18 +34.2%