| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,341 |
0.650 |
$871.50 |
$135.39 |
+18.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
482 |
0.855 |
$412.51 |
$101.15 |
+32.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
152 |
0.964 |
$146.72 |
$12.33 |
+9.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
59 |
0.745 |
$43.69 |
$11.93 |
+37.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
22 |
0.675 |
$14.78 |
$2.30 |
+18.4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.905 |
$11.56 |
$1.34 |
+13.1% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.605 |
$11.54 |
$1.43 |
+14.2% |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
Yes |
32 |
0.285 |
$9.14 |
$1.84 |
+25.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026? |
Yes |
59 |
0.115 |
$6.74 |
$-1.26 |
-15.8% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
26 |
0.255 |
$6.71 |
$1.71 |
+34.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.101 |
$6.08 |
$0.08 |
+1.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
12 |
0.515 |
$5.99 |
$0.99 |
+19.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
7 |
0.835 |
$5.77 |
$0.31 |
+5.7% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.938 |
$5.21 |
$0.21 |
+4.2% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.885 |
$4.92 |
$-0.08 |
-1.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.155 |
$4.86 |
$-4.14 |
-46.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.805 |
$4.85 |
$-0.15 |
-3.0% |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
Yes |
25 |
0.147 |
$3.74 |
$0.44 |
+13.5% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.735 |
$3.00 |
$1.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.048 |
$2.85 |
$-3.15 |
-52.5% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.365 |
$2.51 |
$0.51 |
+25.4% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
17 |
0.135 |
$2.25 |
$0.25 |
+12.5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.124 |
$2.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.4% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.085 |
$1.70 |
$-0.30 |
-15.0% |
| Will Matt Olson lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? |
Yes |
15 |
0.105 |
$1.62 |
$-0.38 |
-19.2% |