PnL (30d)

+$64

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+103.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

4W / 7L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

6W / 10L

Trades (30d)

16

across 6 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$21.38

avg win $33 · loss $2

Profit Factor

32.31

$66 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

16.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.9% 39W/22L	20	$3,731
🏛 Politics	22.2% 2W/7L	3	$80
🎬 Culture	22.2% 2W/7L	2	$64

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?	Yes	343	0.996	$341.22	$116.20	+51.6%
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	100	0.925	$92.46	$31.24	+51.0%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	61	0.790	$48.51	$15.35	+46.3%
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?	No	160	0.300	$48.00	$19.20	+66.7%
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	61	0.485	$29.51	$5.39	+22.3%
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	No	38	0.445	$16.82	$9.26	+122.5%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.230	$9.20	$-2.00	-17.9%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	30	0.205	$6.15	$-7.05	-53.4%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	No	50	0.100	$5.00	$-16.50	-76.7%
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	5	0.665	$3.33	$1.12	+51.1%
Over 6 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?	No	5	0.555	$2.69	$1.67	+164.3%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	5	0.535	$2.55	$0.69	+37.2%