| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
7,000 |
0.875 |
$6,124.96 |
$115.03 |
+1.9% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
5,633 |
0.880 |
$4,957.12 |
$583.78 |
+13.3% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
5,867 |
0.642 |
$3,766.72 |
$1,248.38 |
+49.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
3,680 |
0.957 |
$3,521.92 |
$79.70 |
+2.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
11,758 |
0.275 |
$3,233.51 |
$-381.78 |
-10.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
3,721 |
0.845 |
$3,143.98 |
$723.32 |
+29.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,712 |
0.823 |
$3,054.86 |
$566.96 |
+22.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
3,629 |
0.840 |
$3,048.59 |
$63.36 |
+2.1% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? |
No |
4,089 |
0.743 |
$3,037.81 |
$439.11 |
+16.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.915 |
$2,745.00 |
$-15.00 |
-0.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,878 |
0.460 |
$2,701.04 |
$646.36 |
+31.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
2,791 |
0.905 |
$2,525.77 |
$78.58 |
+3.2% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
2,500 |
0.945 |
$2,362.50 |
$87.50 |
+3.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
3,250 |
0.695 |
$2,258.10 |
$-381.50 |
-14.5% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
67,154 |
0.030 |
$2,048.21 |
$357.80 |
+21.2% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
23,385 |
0.086 |
$1,999.39 |
$983.63 |
+96.8% |
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? |
No |
2,291 |
0.865 |
$1,981.69 |
$272.83 |
+16.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.952 |
$1,903.00 |
$47.00 |
+2.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.305 |
$1,830.00 |
$750.00 |
+69.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.969 |
$1,453.50 |
$58.50 |
+4.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.625 |
$1,250.00 |
$-390.00 |
-23.8% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
25,000 |
0.044 |
$1,112.50 |
$187.50 |
+20.3% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,355 |
0.415 |
$977.37 |
$276.54 |
+39.5% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
61,866 |
0.015 |
$958.92 |
$278.40 |
+40.9% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,248 |
0.740 |
$923.54 |
$117.36 |
+14.6% |