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Trader leaderboard/tsddd

tsddd

0xf961e6585aa865c8fefa439b656f8c7db6d834dd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
96W / 11L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
91%
117W / 11L
Trades (30d)
128
across 44 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.15
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.60
$9 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,047 · all-time $155,577

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 91.8% 3,082W/277L 1007 $7,216
⚽ Sports 91.9% 296W/26L 97 $677
₿ Crypto 89.1% 98W/12L 40 $281
🏛 Politics 89.1% 41W/5L 19 $134
🎬 Culture 100.0% 27W/0L 12 $54
💵 Economy 83.3% 10W/2L 3 $24
🤖 Tech 71.4% 5W/2L 2 $14
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 23 0.643 $14.79 $-5.21 -26.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 12 1.000 $11.60 $1.60 +16.0%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 12 0.951 $11.00 $1.00 +10.0%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 12 0.948 $10.92 $0.92 +9.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5? Yes 11 0.991 $10.57 $0.58 +5.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? No 10 0.990 $10.28 $0.30 +3.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? Yes 10 1.000 $10.17 $0.19 +1.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 10 0.995 $10.11 $0.15 +1.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5? No 10 0.993 $10.11 $0.12 +1.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6? Yes 10 0.965 $10.04 $0.04 +0.4%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage Imperial 12 0.855 $9.97 $-0.03 -0.3%
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05? No 11 0.885 $9.92 $-0.08 -0.8%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 8 0.996 $8.15 $0.15 +1.8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? Yes 8 0.988 $8.11 $0.11 +1.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? No 8 1.000 $8.04 $0.05 +0.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? No 8 1.000 $8.04 $0.05 +0.6%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 9 0.845 $7.82 $-0.18 -2.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? No 6 0.964 $6.22 $0.22 +3.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6? No 6 0.996 $6.02 $0.04 +0.6%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 7 0.835 $5.87 $-0.13 -2.1%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? No 6 0.896 $5.56 $-0.44 -7.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 5? No 4 0.987 $4.02 $0.03 +0.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? Yes 4 0.992 $4.00 $0.00 +0.1%
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 2 0.953 $2.07 $0.07 +3.5%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 2 0.997 $2.02 $0.02 +1.2%