PnL (30d)

−$173

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$25

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

99%

3,512W / 41L · 520 open

Win Return (30d)

99%

3,984W / 44L · 45 open

Trades (30d)

4,073

across 973 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.21

avg win $1 · loss $58

Profit Factor

0.75

$521 won / $694 lost

Reward / Risk

0.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	97.7% 11,147W/258L	2850	$430,994
🌤 Weather	99.3% 1,765W/12L	501	$73,417

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 6?	No	163	0.985	$160.89	$-0.82	-0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 6?	No	159	0.993	$158.17	$0.64	+0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?	No	157	0.978	$153.87	$-1.36	-0.9%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 7?	No	154	0.993	$152.52	$-0.31	-0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 6?	No	152	0.993	$151.06	$-0.38	-0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 7?	No	153	0.980	$150.30	$-1.14	-0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 6?	No	149	0.996	$148.73	$-0.07	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 6?	No	149	0.996	$148.73	$-0.07	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 7?	No	109	0.990	$107.81	$0.59	+0.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 6?	No	101	0.993	$99.84	$-0.35	-0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 7?	No	81	0.994	$80.41	$-0.08	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 7?	No	80	0.995	$79.56	$-0.04	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	71	0.997	$70.41	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 6?	No	68	0.997	$67.58	$0.14	+0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 6?	No	64	0.998	$64.32	$0.52	+0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 6?	No	56	0.994	$55.23	$0.31	+0.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 7?	No	43	0.992	$42.76	$0.09	+0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 7?	No	30	0.993	$29.77	$0.38	+1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 6?	No	27	0.994	$26.64	$0.08	+0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 6?	No	24	0.995	$23.89	$-0.05	-0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 7?	No	22	0.996	$21.55	$0.01	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C or below on August 7?	No	21	0.995	$20.61	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 6?	No	15	0.994	$14.91	$0.06	+0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 7?	No	15	0.990	$14.84	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on August 7?	No	10	0.993	$9.93	$0.03	+0.3%