december
0xf910cc50ec0ceecb18a24dee5b9606b5ffa87467
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$1,607
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+3.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
99%
106W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
99%
106W / 1L
Trades (30d)
107
across 4 markets · ~27 per market
EV / position
+$401.67
avg win $537 · loss $3
Profit Factor
536.56
$1,610 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
178.85
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$20
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,000 · all-time $4,142,866
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
40,000 |
0.969 |
$38,740.00 |
$-199.64 |
-0.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.988 |
$4,937.50 |
$357.50 |
+7.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.835 |
$4,175.00 |
$-80.00 |
-1.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
3,100 |
0.625 |
$1,937.50 |
$-884.50 |
-31.3% |