PnL (30d)

−$396

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$89

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-86.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

1%

1W / 178L · 33 open

Win Return (30d)

5%

10W / 202L

Trades (30d)

212

across 26 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$23.32

avg win $20 · loss $26

Profit Factor

0.05

$20 won / $417 lost

Reward / Risk

0.78

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$194

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.6% 1W/178L	26	$1,889
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/49L	8	$212
🌤 Weather	—	1	$47
🔬 Science	—	1	$47

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	220	0.125	$27.50	$-17.30	-38.6%
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	1,857	0.005	$9.29	$-6.64	-41.7%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	591	0.013	$7.68	$-10.44	-57.6%