PnL (30d)

+$325

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

99%

79W / 1L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

97%

83W / 3L

Trades (30d)

86

across 26 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$14.79

avg win $16 · loss $0

Profit Factor

930.38

$326 won / $0 lost

Reward / Risk

44.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	98.8% 79W/1L	26	$5,747
₿ Crypto	63.6% 7W/4L	9	$1,036
💵 Economy	63.6% 7W/4L	9	$1,036

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	2,500	0.750	$1,874.63	$3.14	+0.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?	No	200	0.971	$194.10	$18.45	+10.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?	No	125	0.975	$121.88	$5.62	+4.8%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	No	137	0.835	$114.22	$-8.89	-7.2%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	105	0.925	$97.12	$2.72	+2.9%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	100	0.765	$76.50	$11.50	+17.7%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	41	0.856	$35.10	$-0.96	-2.7%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	2	0.445	$0.90	$0.17	+23.6%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	1	0.150	$0.21	$0.01	+7.1%