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Trader leaderboard/newbie77

newbie77

0xf8871f87fbb32d5ce21e3f8902f70f4f0f266b54
PnL (30d)
+$252
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$896
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
50W / 37L · 456 open
Win Return (30d)
80%
433W / 105L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
543
across 66 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$14.01
avg win $21 · loss $5
Profit Factor
10.97
$277 won / $25 lost
Reward / Risk
4.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$27
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,626 · all-time $246,569

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.5% 50W/37L 66 $38,775
🏛 Politics 21 $6,938
💵 Economy 22.2% 2W/7L 18 $7,672
₿ Crypto 22.2% 2W/7L 8 $3,320
🌤 Weather 100.0% 9W/0L 2 $68
🤖 Tech 1 $1
🎬 Culture 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

43 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 10,500 0.885 $9,292.50 $137.55 +1.5%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 4,605 0.970 $4,465.02 $92.30 +2.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,800 0.885 $2,478.09 $179.51 +7.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,500 0.935 $1,402.50 $77.50 +5.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,200 0.925 $1,109.55 $101.49 +10.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 1,000 0.975 $974.50 $4.60 +0.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.925 $925.01 $17.00 +1.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.915 $915.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes 1,873 0.486 $911.02 $125.88 +16.0%
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? Yes 2,000 0.435 $869.94 $135.14 +18.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.845 $845.00 $124.25 +17.2%
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No 830 0.961 $797.07 $26.13 +3.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 800 0.830 $663.98 $-5.00 -0.7%
New pandemic in 2026? No 600 0.935 $561.00 $10.50 +1.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 579 0.955 $553.25 $34.07 +6.6%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? Yes 593 0.655 $388.23 $64.81 +20.0%
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 296 0.986 $291.26 $23.42 +8.7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No 221 0.945 $209.25 $16.30 +8.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 200 0.915 $183.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.505 $151.50 $6.75 +4.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.755 $150.99 $27.00 +21.8%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? No 156 0.964 $150.55 $7.21 +5.0%
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No 147 0.955 $140.77 $4.60 +3.4%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026? No 136 0.963 $131.07 $7.94 +6.4%
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes 250 0.445 $111.25 $9.75 +9.6%