| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,726 |
0.845 |
$4,838.74 |
$136.75 |
+2.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
12,104 |
0.325 |
$3,933.95 |
$-1,160.79 |
-22.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.625 |
$2,500.00 |
$90.00 |
+3.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.945 |
$1,890.01 |
$50.00 |
+2.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
267 |
0.875 |
$233.52 |
$9.01 |
+4.0% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
148 |
0.945 |
$139.88 |
$11.10 |
+8.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
141 |
0.980 |
$138.37 |
$8.42 |
+6.5% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
191 |
0.675 |
$128.84 |
$8.62 |
+7.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
116 |
0.976 |
$112.94 |
$5.17 |
+4.8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.905 |
$91.77 |
$44.11 |
+92.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
79 |
0.905 |
$71.13 |
$11.40 |
+19.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
357 |
0.155 |
$55.36 |
$-48.15 |
-46.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
217 |
0.255 |
$55.23 |
$-44.27 |
-44.5% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
77 |
0.715 |
$55.01 |
$-11.86 |
-17.7% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
50 |
0.979 |
$48.59 |
$2.93 |
+6.4% |
| Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
47 |
0.970 |
$45.82 |
$0.47 |
+1.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
37 |
0.830 |
$30.69 |
$10.72 |
+53.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
85 |
0.265 |
$22.51 |
$-36.85 |
-62.1% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.954 |
$19.09 |
$-0.12 |
-0.6% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
No |
20 |
0.918 |
$18.12 |
$-1.21 |
-6.3% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
3 |
0.915 |
$2.68 |
$-0.01 |
-0.5% |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? |
No |
2 |
0.998 |
$1.97 |
$0.01 |
+0.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
22 |
0.036 |
$0.80 |
$-0.98 |
-55.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.225 |
$0.73 |
$-1.44 |
-66.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
5 |
0.003 |
$0.01 |
$-2.30 |
-99.5% |