| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
278 |
0.625 |
$173.90 |
$-44.74 |
-20.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
966 |
0.155 |
$149.70 |
$20.37 |
+15.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
152 |
0.835 |
$126.83 |
$5.37 |
+4.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
145 |
0.785 |
$114.20 |
$15.23 |
+15.4% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
99 |
0.355 |
$35.14 |
$-13.37 |
-27.6% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.695 |
$34.95 |
$-1.23 |
-3.4% |
| Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? |
Yes |
54 |
0.630 |
$34.02 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
42 |
0.665 |
$27.93 |
$1.47 |
+5.6% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
93 |
0.285 |
$26.44 |
$0.60 |
+2.3% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.455 |
$22.75 |
$0.75 |
+3.4% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
21 |
0.983 |
$20.64 |
$7.20 |
+53.6% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
24 |
0.705 |
$16.74 |
$1.54 |
+10.2% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.925 |
$16.71 |
$1.72 |
+11.4% |
| Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
31 |
0.520 |
$16.18 |
$-0.05 |
-0.3% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
37 |
0.415 |
$15.35 |
$-8.62 |
-36.0% |
| Will Disney say "Epic Universe" during earnings call? |
No |
16 |
0.860 |
$13.62 |
$1.74 |
+14.7% |
| Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
100 |
0.135 |
$13.50 |
$-9.50 |
-41.3% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.865 |
$13.48 |
$1.95 |
+16.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.645 |
$12.90 |
$0.10 |
+0.8% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
557 |
0.023 |
$12.81 |
$-133.15 |
-91.2% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.874 |
$11.93 |
$2.78 |
+30.4% |
| Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? |
Yes |
42 |
0.275 |
$11.55 |
$-2.67 |
-18.8% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 205M? |
Yes |
12 |
0.960 |
$11.12 |
$0.12 |
+1.1% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? |
Yes |
34 |
0.305 |
$10.24 |
$-8.23 |
-44.5% |
| Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.825 |
$10.19 |
$-0.06 |
-0.6% |