| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
15,010 |
0.942 |
$14,131.50 |
$131.51 |
+0.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
3,852 |
0.835 |
$3,216.55 |
$487.51 |
+17.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,703 |
0.823 |
$1,400.62 |
$1,207.60 |
+625.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,351 |
0.785 |
$1,060.86 |
$346.08 |
+48.4% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
879 |
0.905 |
$795.60 |
$-4.39 |
-0.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
750 |
0.945 |
$708.75 |
$86.01 |
+13.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
789 |
0.885 |
$697.91 |
$148.81 |
+27.1% |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? |
No |
806 |
0.866 |
$697.76 |
$-52.24 |
-7.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,047 |
0.135 |
$678.88 |
$285.18 |
+72.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
541 |
0.865 |
$467.73 |
$166.37 |
+55.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
1,422 |
0.325 |
$462.20 |
$-461.30 |
-50.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.964 |
$433.40 |
$55.64 |
+14.7% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
17,391 |
0.021 |
$372.17 |
$-27.81 |
-7.0% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
984 |
0.375 |
$369.16 |
$2.12 |
+0.6% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? |
Yes |
811 |
0.430 |
$348.65 |
$48.65 |
+16.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,437 |
0.209 |
$301.12 |
$32.68 |
+12.2% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.105 |
$262.50 |
$-37.50 |
-12.5% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? |
No |
238 |
0.972 |
$231.58 |
$105.24 |
+83.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,450 |
0.049 |
$218.03 |
$4.07 |
+1.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
375 |
0.545 |
$204.37 |
$28.80 |
+16.4% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.120 |
$180.00 |
$-135.00 |
-42.9% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
432 |
0.397 |
$171.68 |
$38.34 |
+28.8% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
162 |
0.980 |
$158.65 |
$12.67 |
+8.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
2,092 |
0.075 |
$156.87 |
$-158.34 |
-50.2% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
183 |
0.825 |
$150.68 |
$63.16 |
+72.2% |