| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
43 |
0.865 |
$36.98 |
$2.35 |
+6.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.935 |
$36.00 |
$1.00 |
+2.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
No |
40 |
0.885 |
$35.10 |
$0.10 |
+0.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
44 |
0.725 |
$32.12 |
$-2.88 |
-8.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
86 |
0.357 |
$30.62 |
$-4.38 |
-12.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
43 |
0.715 |
$30.54 |
$3.43 |
+12.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
25 |
0.855 |
$21.38 |
$1.38 |
+6.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
25 |
0.835 |
$21.03 |
$-1.13 |
-5.1% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
15 |
0.945 |
$13.91 |
$0.66 |
+5.0% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
30 |
0.375 |
$11.40 |
$-1.37 |
-10.7% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
9 |
0.925 |
$8.31 |
$0.31 |
+3.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
19 |
0.410 |
$7.83 |
$-3.25 |
-29.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.780 |
$2.39 |
$1.04 |
+77.3% |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.895 |
$1.79 |
$1.31 |
+272.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
2 |
0.825 |
$1.63 |
$0.96 |
+142.6% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1 |
0.086 |
$0.12 |
$0.04 |
+44.8% |