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Trader

0xf7e61e66c02d8c64562ea8b96def0027c922f87c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$15
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
2W / 3L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
18%
2W / 9L
Trades (30d)
11
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$7.60
avg win $32 · loss $16
Profit Factor
1.92
$32 won / $16 lost
Reward / Risk
1.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $844 · all-time $48,550

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.2% 29W/30L 49 $1,134
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $148
🎬 Culture 33.3% 1W/2L 3 $28
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $0
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.545 $54.50 $1.00 +1.9%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.515 $51.50 $1.90 +3.8%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.225 $45.00 $-1.00 -2.2%
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? Yes 58 0.665 $38.43 $0.64 +1.7%
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? Yes 50 0.535 $26.75 $0.50 +1.9%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 100 0.255 $25.50 $-11.50 -31.1%
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 46 0.545 $25.20 $12.69 +101.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 36 0.455 $16.53 $-4.54 -21.6%
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 17 0.845 $14.47 $7.62 +111.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 105 0.115 $12.07 $-15.97 -57.0%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 100 0.065 $6.50 $-0.50 -7.1%
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 10 0.445 $4.45 $-3.25 -42.2%
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 3 0.670 $1.70 $0.30 +21.8%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 50 0.007 $0.35 $-5.35 -93.9%