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Trader leaderboard/Frenonski

Frenonski

0xf784e9a7a354c644c1af25f1ee9e1b68b91fab48
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$10
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$641
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
68%
30W / 14L · 277 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
128W / 187L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
321
across 23 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$4.89
avg win $27 · loss $37
Profit Factor
0.73
$27 won / $37 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,294 · all-time $1,907,728

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 71.1% 172W/70L 99 $20,829
🏛 Politics — 10 $3,080
⚽ Sports — 5 $582

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 440 0.855 $376.20 $42.46 +12.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No 296 0.905 $267.75 $-0.20 -0.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 255 0.905 $231.04 $-1.04 -0.4%
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 336 0.655 $219.96 $19.90 +9.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 200 0.961 $192.13 $5.30 +2.8%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 140 0.988 $138.25 $0.84 +0.6%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 140 0.915 $128.09 $37.28 +41.1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 100 0.954 $95.36 $6.28 +7.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 90 0.968 $87.08 $3.60 +4.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 440 0.147 $64.90 $-38.45 -37.2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50 0.978 $48.88 $0.38 +0.8%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 50 0.967 $48.35 $0.05 +0.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50 0.909 $45.47 $-1.23 -2.6%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 30 0.997 $29.89 $0.16 +0.6%
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? No 30 0.980 $29.39 $-0.04 -0.2%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 30 0.971 $29.11 $2.02 +7.4%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 101 0.285 $28.76 $-1.58 -5.2%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes 30 0.925 $27.74 $1.15 +4.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 30 0.853 $25.58 $0.61 +2.4%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 20 1.000 $19.99 $0.21 +1.1%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 20 0.996 $19.91 $0.13 +0.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.982 $19.63 $0.51 +2.7%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 20 0.966 $19.32 $0.80 +4.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 20 0.911 $18.24 $0.15 +0.8%
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.895 $17.90 $2.10 +13.3%